Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 3.282254 3.893698 4.618396 5.549379 6.726252 8.181585 1.014445e+01
2024-10-27 2.341538 3.057583 4.018105 5.434737 7.531326 10.623338 1.573902e+01
2024-11-03 2.035066 2.833197 3.998282 5.894930 9.055458 14.419759 2.499554e+01
2024-11-10 1.770375 2.584590 3.851402 6.078761 10.165283 17.981942 3.604580e+01
2024-11-17 1.599267 2.431978 3.801528 6.381432 11.555859 22.665214 5.288380e+01
2024-11-24 1.410904 2.212917 3.589374 6.326573 12.226534 26.184251 7.007593e+01
2024-12-01 1.280594 2.066908 3.471298 6.412226 13.214786 30.972693 9.621257e+01
2024-12-08 1.167440 1.931816 3.345634 6.446386 14.097598 36.025145 1.302035e+02
2024-12-15 1.100778 1.869598 3.345121 6.745997 15.756806 44.483293 1.936652e+02
2024-12-22 1.000738 1.730841 3.168883 6.603000 16.186997 49.298156 2.495891e+02
2024-12-29 0.928053 1.635083 3.065200 6.608533 17.056465 56.461316 3.408917e+02
2025-01-05 0.855986 1.531699 2.929506 6.503641 17.559755 62.673918 4.481964e+02
2025-01-12 0.806286 1.477772 2.916239 6.782094 19.703516 79.874282 7.797532e+02
2025-01-19 0.731105 1.364072 2.755997 6.641338 20.437201 91.978892 1.191530e+03
2025-01-26 0.708829 1.357972 2.842568 7.233214 24.372865 130.509897 2.895741e+03
2025-02-02 0.669196 1.307997 2.813399 7.470696 27.089146 168.388285 6.471845e+03
2025-02-09 0.640600 1.278393 2.829268 7.862658 30.906823 228.638637 1.927422e+04
2025-02-16 0.595597 1.205052 2.718321 7.791522 32.400362 272.444035 4.730353e+04
2025-02-23 0.562508 1.155527 2.662572 7.902606 35.068391 344.466595 1.868879e+05
2025-03-02 0.530405 1.104424 2.593848 7.946935 37.466365 428.774072 1.187280e+06
2025-03-09 0.512268 1.085085 2.611312 8.336396 42.599518 605.322213 3.510949e+08
2025-03-16 0.478583 1.023208 2.495483 8.150370 43.597044 705.634209 NaN
2025-03-23 0.453450 0.980309 2.429509 8.157563 46.173436 885.068825 NaN